Macro History World Model

Pick a date in the public macro record. Write the memo, warning, watch, or hold recommendation an analyst could have made then. The learned model gets only the public data available at that cutoff and forecasts the pressures each move shifts. A fixed heuristic ranks the moves from those forecasts.

This is a dated research snapshot: 5,339 public records through June 9, 2026, with 420 historical cutoffs. It is not a live macro feed.

Good tests

If this shock lands, should the next move be publish, wait, escalate, or open a watch?

Weak tests

Who was right later, or what is the best answer using facts the cutoff could not know?

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Timeline

Known by cutoff

Evidence

Action test

Describe a macro shock, a public response, or both. The date stays fixed; only your branch is added after it.

Result

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